Kentucky Derby Day, Last Day of the Mid Summer Spectacular, September 5th

Winchester 2009

It is the last day of the 2020 Mid Summer Spectacular segment, so make your picks count. It is close at the top. We’ve got 5 grade 1 stakes races for you today. Two races from Saratoga, and 4 from Churchill Downs. Let’s get to it!

Race 1: Pat Day Mile Stakes (G2)

  • Cezanne – back to shorter distance 1m, got the speed, winner at distance and 2/3 lifetime, working bullter, hot jockey
  • Echo Town – Winner of last race, fast speed horse, high percentage jockey/trainer
  • Rushie – 3rd in two tough races, no shame in losing to Art Collector, Swiss Skydiver, Honor A.P. and Authentic. winner at distance, fast dirt speed, working well
  • Just Missed – No Parole – looks like a hero or a zero with this horse. Working out well, winner at distance, could be good value? Watch for Tap It to Win as well

Race 2: Jim Dandy Stakes (G1)

  • Happy Saver – Wow that speed! Winner at distance, high percentage jockey/trainer, undefeated in 2 starts, winner at Saratoga at distance
  • Dr Post – Couldn’t get it done against the big guns who are in the derby, but should do well in this spot, high percentage jockey/trainer, I think they saved him for this race, so layoff is not a concern
  • Jesus’ Team – 2nd to Pneumatic in the Pegasus, looking fast, working out well, 4th in Haskell to some good horses, will compete well

Race 3: Derby City Distaff Stakes (G1)

  • Serengeti Empress – Hard to bet against her, winner last time out, winner of 2/3 at distance, high speed ratings, winner at Churchill, working well, high percentage jockey
  • Bellafina – Two seconds and a first in last 3 starts, working out well, winner at distance and 6 2-3-1, Mike Smith of course
  • Ce Ce – Working out well, good jockey, hasn’t raced distance, failing as favorite, enough to compete? Or should I have picked Mia Mischief?

Race 4: Woodward Handicap (G1)

  • Tacitus – looks to have this wrapped up, fastest speed, winner last race, winner at distance, high percentage jockey, second twice at Saratoga?
  • Moretti – Only horse I think can make the distance with Tacitus, won last race, winner at Saratoga, hot jockey/trainer
  • Spinoff – Winner last race at Saratoga, hot jockey/trainer, moving up in class after running against lesser foes, and not winning. Tacitus is the one to bet

Race 5: Turf Classic Stakes (G1)

  • Factor This – winner of last 4, and 3/4 at distance, good speed figs, hot trainer, hasn’t finished worse than 5th in 2 years
  • Sacred Life – coming off a win, always hanging around the front, working out very well, hasn’t gone the distance yet
  • Somelikeithotbrown – Coming off a win last race at Saratoga in the Bernard Baruch, working out well, high percentage jockey/trainer, has won at distance 2 1-0-1, racing well in 2020 5 2-1-1

Race 6: Kentucky Derby (G1)

  • Tiz the Law – It is going to be extremely hard to beat the favorites here, and Tiz the Law is the favorite. Favorites have been winning a lot over the last 10 years. Killed them in the Travers, won all 4 times in 2020, has won at distance, working out well
  • Honor A.P. – hasn’t gone the distance, lost race race as favorite, never underestimate Mike Smith to ride a California horse into the winner’s circle and ruin everyone’s day
  • Authentic – winner of the Haskell, only one second in lifetime, experienced trainer/jockey, working bullets, beaten favorite by Honor A.P.

Well, I think we missed out on a great race when Art Collector scratched, but it will still be great to see the horses racing at the Kentucky Derby. Enjoy a great day of racing everyone. Try and get all 6 right in the Pick 6 Challenge.

http://games.scaredycatfilms.com/pick6/index.php


One response to “Kentucky Derby Day, Last Day of the Mid Summer Spectacular, September 5th”

  1. How did we do?

    Race 1: Pat Day Mile Stakes (G2)
    Cezanne – SCR
    Echo Town – 5
    Rushie – 1
    Just Missed – No Parole – SCR

    Race 2: Jim Dandy Stakes (G1)
    Happy Saver – SCR
    Dr Post – 4
    Jesus’ Team – 3

    Race 3: Derby City Distaff Stakes (G1)
    Serengeti Empress – 2
    Bellafina – 6
    Ce Ce – 4

    Race 4: Woodward Handicap (G1)
    Tacitus – 2
    Moretti – SCR
    Spinoff – 4

    Race 5: Turf Classic Stakes (G1)
    Factor This – 2
    Sacred Life – 4
    Somelikeithotbrown – 9

    Race 6: Kentucky Derby (G1)
    Tiz the Law – 2
    Honor A.P. – 4
    Authentic – 1

    A couple wins, but I’m seeing a whole lotta second up there.