Luck of the Irish? Irish O’Brien Stakes and More, March 19, 2022

Qualify Saratoga

Another week of multi-track racing action. This week we go to Oaklawn, Gulfstream, Aqueduct, and Santa Anita Park. We’ve got six stakes races on the calendar, two of them Grade 3 (Whitmore and Essex). Let’s have a look at the fields.

Race 1: Whitmore Stakes (G3)

  • Greeley and Ben – Has made a career at 6f, 30 19-5-1, almost winning 2/3rd races entered, 18 13-3-1 record at distance, winner of last 3 and 8 of last 9, good speed figs, moves up in class.
  • Bob’s Edge – Winner last race, winner at distance and at Oaklawn, high speed figs, working bullets.
  • Tulane Tryst – Winner of last 2 at distance, keeps jockey, winner of 4 3-1-0 at distance, weakened at 7f, looks good at 6, working bullets, hoping for good price.

Race 2: The Silks Run Stakes

  • Arrest Me Red – Winner of last 3, all longer than 5f, goes tot he front, winner of 5/7 lifetime, 2/2 at distance, 5/6 on turf, working bullets, high percentage jockey/trainer.
  • Cool Quest – High speed figs, has experience getting tired at distances greater than 5f, dropping distance, goes to the front.
  • Yes I Am Free – Winner last race in G3, experience winning at distance and at Oaklawn, winning jockey has experience on this horse.

Race 3: Cicada Stakes

  • Lady Monshun – Perfect trip in maiden win at distance, high percentage jockey/trainer, working out well, no history here though, risky.
  • Rosebug – Follow me here, Sweet Solare won last race but was beaten by Exxaltress 2 races ago, Exxaltress won last race over Sweet Solare, but was beaten by Rosebug 2 races ago. Rosebug therefore will beat Exxaltress and Sweet Solare. No further questions, the logic is sound. Dropping to sprint distance, may improve.
  • Exxaltress – There are a lot of other horses with potential here, but I’ll take the Chad Brown trained, increasing speed figs, winner at distance, goes to the front, working out well horse.
  • Just Missed – Lady Milagro – was last race a fluke? Lady Scarlet – Only 1 good race at distance, the rest are defeats at 5.5f.

Race 4: The Hutcherson Stakes

  • Nitrous Channel – Can’t ignore, killed it in maiden win, highest speed fig, high percentage jockey/trainer, winner at distance and track.
  • Provocateur – Winner at distance, returning to 6f, high percentage jockey/trainer, working out well.
  • American Sanctuary – Dropping significantly in class, but is betting a G1 loser in a Stakes race a good bet? High percentage jockey, returns to shorter distance, working bullets.

Race 5: Essex Handicap (G3)

  • Plainsman – Winner last race, 12 5-1-2 at distance, high speed figs, high percentage jockey/trainer, winner against others in race, working out well.
  • Thomas Shelby – Ran second to Plainsman last race, 5 3-2-0 at distance, high percentage trainer, good speed figs, experience at track.
  • Warrior’s Charge – Winner last race, high percentage jockey/trainer, high speed figs, moving up in class, has lost to Thomas Shelby more than once.

Race 6: Irish O’Brien Stakes

  • Becca Taylor – Undefeated, improving speed figs, high percentage jockey/trainer, winner at track.
  • Sensible Cat – Winner last race at distance at Santa Anita, high percentage jockey/trainer, good speed figs, looks to be liking the shorter distance last 2 starts.
  • Eddie’s New Dream – Up and down on turf and dirt, seems OK with Santa Anita track, consistent speed figs, highest last race, needs to close.

There you have it, lots of interesting races on the Pick 6 Challenge today. See if you can beat me.

http://games.scaredycatfilms.com/pick6/index.php


One response to “Luck of the Irish? Irish O’Brien Stakes and More, March 19, 2022”

  1. How did we do?

    Race 1: Whitmore Stakes (G3)
    Greeley and Ben – 3
    Bob’s Edge – 1
    Tulane Tryst – 2

    Race 2: The Silks Run Stakes
    Arrest Me Red – 3
    Cool Quest – 9
    Yes I Am Free – 1

    Race 3: Cicada Stakes
    Monshun – 2
    Rosebug – 3
    Exxaltress – 6
    Just Missed – Lady Milagro – 4 Lady Scarlet – 1

    Race 4: The Hutcherson Stakes
    Nitrous Channel – 2
    Provocateur – 1
    American Sanctuary – 4

    Race 5: Essex Handicap (G3)
    Plainsman – 2
    Thomas Shelby – 4
    Warrior’s Charge – 5

    Race 6: Irish O’Brien Stakes
    Becca Taylor – 2
    Sensible Cat – 3
    Eddie’s New Dream – 1

    Had a lot of seconds this week, and picked practically everyone but the winner in the Cicada.